Rare Earth Market Outlook: Supply, Demand, and Pricing from 2014 through 2020
Following a tumultuous yet humbling decade for the global rare earth industry, a period of calm and cautious-optimism has dawned as industry players gaze to the future in anticipation of what changes lie ahead of the World Trade Organization’s recent ruling against China’s rare earth export restrictions. Following a period of record-high REO prices in mid-2011 on the back of unfounded market panic and temporary supply disruptions, prices of REOs have receded significantly but remain higher on average in 2014 than in 2010.

In this report, we analyze the rare earth market from 2008 through 2013, estimating supply, consumption, prices, and the value of regional and global markets in each year. We provide a breakdown of REO consumption per end-use for over 200 end-uses and applications and reveal insightful trends about the trajectory of the rare earth market going forward.

With valuable hindsight in tow, we forecast supply, demand, prices, and the value of regional and global markets for each year from 2014 through 2020. We provide a detailed breakdown of forecasted REO demand per unit and per end-use for over 200 end-uses and applications and analyze two distinct future scenarios to forecast REO prices under different conditions.

Among the findings of our report, we forecast that global demand for rare earth oxides will grow from 120,148 tonnes in 2014 to 150,766 tonnes in 2020 at a CAGR of 3.9% driven largely by strong demand growth for neodymium oxide, praseodymium oxide, and dysprosium oxide, among others.

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Wednesday, October 1, 2014
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